In a recent YouTube video, Jason Pizzino, a crypto analyst, delved into the historical cycles of the stock market. Using this data, he made predictions about the future price of Bitcoin (BTC) in a video uploaded on October 9, 2023. Pizzino argued that by looking back over the past century, one can observe that stock markets tend to follow cycles of approximately 20 years. At the end of each cycle, markets historically reach a peak mania period characterized by a significant surge in prices, followed by a subsequent crash.
Pizzino provided several examples of these cycle peaks and crashes, including the lead-up to the 1929 peak and the subsequent Great Depression crash, the bull market peak of the 1960s and the stagflation crash of the 1970s, the Japanese asset bubble peak and crash of the 1980s, the dot-com bubble peak of 2000, and the financial crisis crash of 2008.
Based on his cycle analysis, Pizzino suggested that the current bull cycle is likely entering its peak mania period. He predicted that this would occur around 2025-2027, drawing from past timing patterns. During these periods of euphoria at the end of a cycle, speculative assets like cryptocurrencies often experience parabolic rises known as “blow-off tops” as retail hype reaches its climax.
However, Pizzino cautioned that while these dramatic gains can occur during the peak, they are indicative of an eventual collapse when the cycle transitions into a bear market. Nevertheless, considering the magnitude of past cycle peaks, he estimated that Bitcoin may rise above $42,000 by 2024 based on historical data.
Analyzing recent stock market trends, Pizzino observed that the S&P 500 and Nasdaq appear to be bottoming out after experiencing significant declines in 2022. He interpreted this current bottoming pattern as a sign that the new bull cycle, which began in late 2022, is still ongoing.
To summarize, while urging caution due to the inherent uncertainty of the market, Pizzino highlighted the long-term cycle data that suggests the potential for further upside for both Bitcoin and stocks in the years to come. However, he anticipates that this rise will be followed by a violent market collapse.
Please note that this article was originally published on Crypto.news.